|
WASHINGTON, DC, US, August 3, 2005 (Refocus
Weekly)
Demand for renewable energies in the United
States will increase by 5.2% by next year, according to the latest
forecast from the Department of Energy.
Under a base case scenario, demand will increase from 6.591
quadrillion Btu in 2005 to 6.934 quads in 2006, says the Short-Term
Energy Outlook released in July by DOE’s Energy Information
Administration. That compares with a 3.8% increase from 2004 to 2005
and a 2.1% increase from 2003 to 2004.
In the electricity sector, hydro will increase 8.9% into next year,
to 3.046 quads from 2.797 quads this year. This increase compares
with a 4.6% increase from 2004-05 and a decrease of 2.6% from
2003-04.
Geothermal, solar and wind energy will grow 5.9%, to 0.487 quads
from 0.460 quads this year, following recent increases of 2% and
6.9%. Biofuels will increase only 1.1%, to 0.538 quads from 0.532
quads in 2005, following a 4.7% increase from 2004-05 and a decrease
of 2.7% in the year prior.
The total for the electricity sector will be a 7.4% increase by next
year, to 4.071 quads in 2006 from 3.789 quads in 2005, following a
4.3% increase from 2004-05 and a decrease of 1.5% from 2003-04.
In the non-power sector, demand for renewables in homes will be
higher than in industrial or in commercial facilities, where demand
is expected to drop, but it will not be as high as in transportation
where demand for ethanol is growing.
In the residential sector, a 2.1% increase will take demand to 0.476
quads next year from 0.466 quads this year, following increases of
2.2% from 2004-05 and 4.8% from 2003-04. In the commercial sector,
demand will decline by 0.8% going into next year, dropping to 0.121
quads from 0.122 quads this year, in sharp contrast to the 6.1%
increase from 2004-05 and a 8.5% increase from 2003-04.
For the industrial sector, demand will increase 1.4% into 2006, as
demand increases to 1.928 quads from 1.902 quads this year, although
demand is also lower than the 2.9% increase from 2004-05 and a 5.6%
increase from 2003-04. In transportation, the increase will be 8% to
0.337 quads from 0.312 quads in 2005, compared with a 4.3% increase
from 2004-05 and an increase of 25.6% from 2003-04.
The average for all non-power sectors will be a 2.2% increase into
next year, to 2.863 quads from 2.802 quads this year, following a
3.1% increase in 2004-05 and a 7.4 jump in demand from 2003-04.
DOE tracks hydroelectric output in conventional facilities only, and
excludes hydropower generated by pumped storage. Biofuels include
fuelwood, wood byproducts, waste wood, municipal solid waste,
process waste and alcohol fuels, while transportation demand is
ethanol blended into gasoline.
The data include minor components of non-marketed renewable energy
tjay is neither bought nor sold, such as stand-alone green power or
most green heat applications.
Production of non-hydro renewables will grow to 3.82 quads in 2006
from 3.74 quads this year, compared with 3.55 quads in 1996. Total
energy production in the U.S. next year is forecast to be 73.46
quads, of which coal will provide 24.20, natural gas 19.52, crude
oil 12.13, nuclear 8.27 and hydroelectric will provide 3.02 quads.
Visit http://www.sparksdata.co.uk/refocus/
for your international energy focus!!
Refocus © Copyright 2005, Elsevier
Ltd, All rights reserved.
|
