Let the Real Climate
Debate Begin -- A Guest Commentary
July 21, 2005 — By Peter H. Gleick, The Pacific Institute
The global warming debate is
over – the Earth is warming because of human activities. So say 11
National Academies of Science from around the world together with
virtually all of the world’s climate scientists, California Governor
Schwarzenegger, and even most of major oil companies. And the American
people, by an overwhelming majority, believe it’s time to take action.
For most climate scientists, this particular debate was over many years
ago. The climate experienced by our children and grandchildren will be
substantially different than it is today. Indeed, the next generations
will see a climate unlike any since the rise of Homo sapiens.
Yet the facts about the sound science of climate change have been
obfuscated by a tiny band of determined, vocal, and well-funded
contrarians, with oil company support, the help of political editors of
scientific reports inside the White House, and now politicians meddling
with independent science.
Last month, Phil Cooney, the oil company lobbyist turned White House
science "expert," was promptly hired by Exxon-Mobil after resigning
under fire for changing the scientific conclusions in national climate
reports. Texas Republican Joe Barton, who has reportedly received more
money from the oil, gas, coal, nuclear, electricity, and chemical
industry than any other member of the House of Representatives, sent
letters to three climate scientists demanding their raw data showing the
rising temperature of the Earth. The work of these scientists has been
intensively peer-reviewed already, but their findings are so disturbing
to climate deniers that they are pushing for political intimidation.
Barton is being advised by the small community of climate skeptics
funded by -- surprise -- Exxon-Mobil.
Stop playing politics with climate science. It is time for the real
climate debate to begin. If politicians want to get involved in the
debate – as they should – they should be asking: How bad are global
climate changes going to be, what should be done about them, who should
do it, and who should pay? Lots of science needs to be done, but the
difficult challenges are social, economic, and political, are not
scientific.
At the heart of this challenge is the question of how to maintain our
economic well-being while getting away from the need to burn fossil
fuels – the source of most of the pollution that is altering our
climate. The key is to understand that we want heat, light,
refrigeration, transportation, communications, and other goods and
services – not to burn fossil fuels. Let’s satisfy these wants in new
ways.
Unhooking from fossil fuels won’t be easy. And it won’t happen
overnight. But making this shift can help the environment, improve
public health, strengthen our national security, and give our economy a
boost – all while slowing and eventually stopping climate change.
Some in the fossil-fuel industry argue this would mean sacrificing our
economy as well. Nonsense: there are renewable energy technologies for
almost every human want -- and smart people working on alternatives for
what’s lacking. Indeed, the thoughtful oil companies are already
thinking about and planning for this transition, knowing that it is
inevitable. BP is reinventing itself as “Beyond Petroleum” and has
invested $500 million over the past few years in photovoltaics. Shell is
investing in wind energy.
Trading my gasoline car for an electric-gas hybrid hasn’t hurt my
ability to drop my children off at school or drive to a meeting. I’ve
halved the amount I spend on gas, cut my contribution of
climate-change-causing carbon dioxide in the air, and reduced
cancer-causing pollution at the ground level. And I’d happily trade my
hybrid for a car completely independent of fossil fuels, if a smart auto
companies would offer a well-designed one. And I’d certainly be happier
if that smart company was an American one.
Small steps are being taken, though not at the national level. New York
and nine other northeastern states are working to develop limits on
carbon emissions from power plants. The U.S. Conference of Mayors voted
unanimously to support greenhouse gas limits. California is pushing a
bipartisan initiative to place solar panels on a million homes in ten
years. Montana, North Dakota, Iowa, Washington, and other states have
adopted renewable energy targets and incentives. What we lack are
coordinated national efforts and a national message.
Alas, there seems no sign that the Bush Administration is hearing any of
this. The information on climate change that reaches the top is
filtered, edited, and spun by the special interests that surround and
make up the government into a problem far more difficult than it should
be. The problem is easy. Let’s have the real debate about what to do
next. The longer we wait to have this debate, the more challenging,
difficult, and costly both the consequences and the solutions will be.
______________________
Based in Oakland, California,
The
Pacific Institute is an independent, nonpartisan think-tank studying
issues at the intersection of development, environment, and security.
Information on The Pacific Institute's funders is posted on its
website.
Dr. Peter H. Gleick is a 2003 MacArthur Fellow, member of the
US National Academy of Sciences Water Science and Technology Board, a
lifetime member of the International Water Academy in Oslo, Norway, and
President of the Pacific Institute, Oakland. Dr. Gleick did some of the
earliest research on the impacts of climate change for water resources
in the early 1980s. His findings, suggesting dramatic impacts of climate
change for snowfall, snowpack, and runoff, still form the basis for our
understanding of some important risks of climate change, despite vast
improvements in models, computers, and climate analysis over the
subsequent two decades. He was recently appointed to the UN-Sigma Xi
Scientific Expert Group on Climate Change and Sustainable Development
analyzing approaches and policies for adapting to and mitigating climate
change.
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Source: An ENN Guest Commentary |