Daily status report on energy industry recovery efforts in the US Gulf

 

-- It will take until the end of the 2006 first quarter for Gulf of Mexico oil and natural gas production disrupted by hurricanes Katrina and Rita to return to near normal levels, while 98.3% of the Gulf refinery capacity idled by the storms should be back on line by the end of December, US Energy Information Administration chief Guy Caruso told reporters on Oct 12.

-- The EIA also raised by 10 cts, to $2.68/gal, its forecast for fourth-quarter retail regular-grade gasoline. The average pump price in the US is "expected to increase to $2.68/gal for the fourth quarter due, in part, to the effects of the hurricanes on refinery capacity," EIA said. "However, hurricane recovery should result in price decreases by the first quarter of 2006."

-- The agency also said total US energy demand is expected to slip from 25.2-quadrillion Btu in the third quarter of 2005 to 25.1-quadrillion Btu in the fourth quarter, as higher prices from hurricane-related damage takes a bite out of demand.

-- Mexico's state owned Pemex has hired two crude carriers, each with 2-mil bbl capacity, to store heavy Maya crude unable to find a ready market in the US, a source at the state company said on Oct 12. Since hurricanes Katrina and Rita ravaged Gulf Coast refineries, Pemex has been unable to deliver 20-mil bbl of crude to the US, the source said.

-- The Louisiana Dept of Natural Resources on Oct 12 said operators of onshore and shallow-water wells in a 38-parish region of the state have restored 46,174 b/d of oil production, or 22.7% of the area's output before Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. The agency put restored natural gas production at 686,800 Mcf/d, or 30.7% of the region's pre-storm output of 2.235 Bcf/d. The numbers from Oct 12 are virtually unchanged from those on Oct 11.

-- Natural gas demand in the US is expected to drop by 1.1-1.2% this year versus 2004 because more industrial plants have switched to residual oils as a fuel source and the petrochemical sector is using less gas in the wake of production cuts resulting from hurricanes Katrina and Rita, EIA AdministratorDirector Guy Caruso said on Oct 12.

-- With hurricanes Katrina and Rita causing production and infrastructure damage that will take months to repair, Americans are facing much higher bills this winter to heat their homes, the EIA said on Oct 12. EIA, in its forecast for winter (October through March) heating prices, estimated that households heating primarily with natural gas can expect to spend about $350 more -- a 48% hike -- this winter to heat their homes than last year.

-- Entergy Corp still has four generating units damaged and out of service a result of Hurricane Rita, which hit the Gulf Coast at the Texas-Louisiana border Sept 24. Three units at the 1,890-MW Sabine power plant in Bridge City, Texas, and one unit at the 1,031 MW Roy Nelson power plant in Westlake, Louisiana, are damaged, but Entergy said it will no longer provide estimates when units are expected to be repaired.

-- The US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission late on Oct 11 granted Discovery Gas Transmission LLC an emergency waiver allowing it to reroute its pipeline system to transport natural gas shut-in due to damage incurred at Dynegy's Venice, Louisiana, processing plant in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina.

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