Glaciers Shrink, But Some Resist Global Warming

 

NORWAY: August 23, 2004


OSLO - Glaciers are melting faster than before in some regions from the Arctic to the Alps but others are getting bigger, scientists said.

 


They are unable to crack the conundrum of why certain glaciers may be more resilient to global warming, though one reason could be that melting sea ice falls back to earth as snow and so causes some of the ice mountains to grow.

"It's too early to say if glacier melting is accelerating worldwide" compared to U.N. forecasts in 2001, Jeffrey Kargel of the U.S. Geological Survey told a seminar on glaciers in Oslo. "In some areas it is, but the picture is mixed."

The scientists said a retreat of glaciers will push up sea levels, threatening to swamp low lying areas from Bangladesh to the Netherlands, and affect everything from ski resorts to agriculture and hydropower production.

Many glaciers are apparently melting because of rising temperatures - glaciers in the Alps have shrunk by more than 20 percent in the past two decades.

"In the Alps the rate is definitely accelerating," said Andreas Kaab of the University of Zurich.

Around the Arctic, many glaciers in Canada and parts of Alaska are also retreating faster than in the past. But some in Norway have even grown while others in Alaska are stable.

One reason for glacier growth may be that rising temperatures melt sea ice that is sucked up into clouds as moisture, some of which falls as snow.

The Briksdalsbreen glacier in west Norway, for instance, grew about 400 meters in the late 1990s before a recent retreat.

ARCTIC CONFUSION

"An accelerating melting has been observed in parts of the Arctic - Canada and Alaska," said John Ove Hagen, a glacier expert at the University of Oslo. "But it's not the same around the Arctic."

U.N. studies project that emissions of greenhouse gases, from cars, power plants and factories, may drive up global temperatures by 1.4-5.8 Celsius (3-12 F) by 2100.

That will contribute to melt glaciers with U.N. studies indicating that sea levels could rise by about 30-50 cms by 2100, threatening many coastal regions and low-lying islands like Tuvalu in the Pacific.

But the studies indicate that the main stores of frozen water on land, in Antarctica and Greenland, are unlikely to melt much in the coming century - their vast volumes of ice act as a deep freeze.

 


Story by Alister Doyle

 


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