Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

Issued: 2007 Apr 12 2200 UTC

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

 

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 102 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Apr 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No new regions were numbered today.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet during the forecast period.

III. Event Probabilities 13 Apr-15 Apr

Class M 01/01/01

Class X 01/01/01

Proton 01/01/01

PCAF Green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed 12 Apr 068

Predicted 13 Apr-15 Apr 070/070/070

90 Day Mean 12 Apr 076

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 11 Apr 003/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Apr 008/010

Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Apr-15 Apr 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Apr-15 Apr A. Middle Latitudes

Active 15/15/15

Minor storm 05/05/05

Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

Active 15/15/15

Minor storm 05/05/05

Major-severe storm 01/01/01

For current space weather conditions please refer to:

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/SWN/

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/alerts/

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales