Global Warming Braked Less Than Expected by Haze
Date: 21-Jun-09
Country: NORWAY
Author: Alister Doyle
Global Warming Braked Less Than Expected by Haze Photo: David Gray

Cars and tricycles can be seen along a road on a hazy day in
central Beijing.
Photo: David Gray
OSLO - Air pollution, dust and other tiny particles that can bounce sunlight
back into space are braking global warming less than previously believed, a
Norwegian study said.
The report, which helps understand how climate change works, said scientific
estimates of light-reflecting airborne particles had underestimated a fast
build-up of black airborne soot, which has the opposite effect by soaking up
heat.
"The black carbon, or soot, emissions have increased fastest," said Gunnar
Myhre of the Center for International Climate and Environmental Research,
Oslo (Cicero) of the report in Friday's edition of the journal Science.
Soot comes from burning vegetation, such as forest fires to clear farmland
from the Amazon to Indonesia, and from burning fossil fuels.
Adjusting for soot and other smaller factors, airborne particles dim
sunlight by about 0.3 watts per square meter, less than 0.5 watts estimated
by a U.N. panel of climate scientists in a 2007 overview.
That offsets roughly a tenth of the heat-trapping impact of greenhouse
gases, mainly from burning fossil fuels, of about 2.7 watts per square
meter, Myhre told Reuters.
The main sunlight-reflecting particles from human activities include
sulphates emitted by burning fossil fuels in factories, power plants or
cars.
Myhre said that tougher pollution laws might lead to cleaner air and so
accelerate warming that the U.N. panel says will cause more floods,
droughts, rising sea levels, heatwaves and extinctions of plant and animal
species.
COOLING
"The direct aerosol effect may have contributed to a cooling in the mid 20th
century and may have masked a considerable degree of current global
warming," he wrote.
That could potentially lead "to more rapid warming in the future owing to
stricter controls on aerosol emissions."
More than 190 governments have agreed to work out a new U.N. pact to fight
global warming at a meeting in Copenhagen in December, mainly by cutting use
of fossil fuels.
Myhre said his study reconciled big differences between satellite data and
estimates based on computer models. Satellites, for instance, were not good
at gauging dimming over bright surfaces such as deserts. Clouds also block
sunlight.
"This reduces the range of uncertainty ... about the scattering of solar
light," Myhre said.
Human-caused aerosols add to natural particles including dust from volcanic
eruptions, sandstorms from the Sahara desert or salt from sea spray that
dominated before widespread use of fossil fuels began in the 18th century.
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