Covert War Heats Up in the Middle East



Will it be enough to neutralize nuclear threat, or will Israel launch
preemptive strikes in 2012?



Also, new State of the Epicenter, 2011 video blog now posted at www.joshuafund.net

Joel C. Rosenberg

(Washington, D.C., December 8, 2011) -- A major "hot war" in the Middle East may be coming in 2012. But evidence continues to mount of an aggressive "covert war" already being fought inside Iran and throughout the Mideast. The goal: to neutralize Tehran's nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs before it's too late. Mysterious explosions are occurring. Iranian scientists are disappearing. Top secret U.S. stealth drones are being used -- now one has been down and captured by the Iranians.

There is little doubt that the Israeli Mossad is involved in some of these operations. The question is how extensively are the CIA and other Western intelligence agencies are involved. In my new political thriller, The Tehran Initiative, the main character -- David Shirazi -- is a CIA operative sent deep inside Iran to use "all means necessary" to pinpoint, disrupt and sabotage Iran's nuclear threat before Israel launches preemptive strikes.

We can only hope the CIA is being this aggressive. Yet at the same time the White House and State Department continue a policy of appeasement towards the wicked regime in Tehran. Now the Obama administration is even trying to water down tougher new Iran sanctions passed by the Senate last week, 100 to 0. Why? Such actions are foolish and reckless, and are making the prospect of an Israeli first strike more likely, not less. Keep praying. It may be a long, tough year ahead.

Here are the latest headlines suggesting a covert war is underway (all linked on the blog):

likely, not less. Keep praying. It may be a long, tough year ahead.



Two other stories posted on the blog this week:

1.) Romney, Gingrich, Santorum stand out in Republican Jewish Coalition event: Dominate discussion on Israel, Iran, epicenter issues. (analysis of the speeches, plus links to the C-SPAN speech archives)

2.) STATE OF THE EPICENTER 2011: Year end report to The Joshua Fund board on the geopolitical challenges facing Israel at the moment.

Three GOP presidential candidates on Wednesday dominated the discussion of Israel, Iran and the economy at the Republican Jewish Coalition event in Washington, D.C. What follows is an update to the recent column I wrote rating the GOP candidates on the Iran issue. I saw nothing to change my previous ratings, but there were new nuances.
  • Romney, Gingrich and Santorum gave serious, substantive addresses and answers during the Q&A sessions.
  • The first two were important to watch because, obviously, they are leading in the polls — and many believe are the most plausible contenders for the Republican nomination. To their credit, both also delivered strong performances — Gingrich’s was better, but Romney wasn’t bad; either will be much better on Israel than President Obama, something more and more American Jews are beginning to realize.
  • Gingrich said he’d appoint John Bolton to be Secretary of State, and move the U.S. Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem — love that; other elements of the speech were excellent, too — definitely worth watching.
  • Romney promised to make his first state visit to Israel, noting that Obama has visited a slew of Mideast countries and offered to meet with Ahmadinejad, but hasn’t found time to visit our most important and trustworthy ally in the region, Israel — amen; he said other good things, too, but the question remains whether he can be trusted on these issues when the Mideast heats up since he hasn’t exactly demonstrated himself as a man of lasting convictions.
  • Santorum’s speech stood out to me — it’s worth watching, along with the other two. The man clearly has deep convictions on Israel and Iran. He knows these issues. He’s thought long and hard about them. He spoke to the RJC first, and spoke of a “gathering storm” building in the Middle East, borrowing Winston Churchill’s line regarding the rise of the Nazi threat in the 1930s. Santorum also impressed me as he explained how he led on major legislation to impose economic sanctions on Iran in 2006, before it was “popular.” He was opposed in the Senate by Joe Biden, and even opposed by President Bush. Yet as he explained, he eventually got his legislation passed unanimously as the situation in Iran worsened and Washington began to wake up to the dangers. Santorum was ahead of his time on the Iran issue, and the only one of the three to have put a specific plan on the table to neutralize Iran’s nuclear threat. Some say Santorum doesn’t have a shot. He’s only at 7% among likely voters in Iowa in the new ABC/Washington Post poll (though that’s up from 2% earlier this year). Still, there are 25 days to go before the Iowa caucuses — that’s a lifetime in politics, and it’s certainly been a wild ride so far. Who knows what will happen next? Regardless, Santorum’s is a welcome and important voice in the GOP debate and his foreign policy experience is vital to the party.
  • Bachmann’s speech was okay, and she clearly loves Israel, but she lacked the gravitas of the others — and she made a very odd point of saying that a donor has told her he’s ready to pay for the move of the U.S. Embassy and Ambassador’s residence to Israel if she’s elected; that seemed a strange thing to say when she makes such a point of criticizing cronyism in politics.
  • Perry said he’d increase aid to Israel — but didn’t he just say he was going to reduce all foreign aid?
  • Huntsman was irrelevant, bless his heart.
  • The RJC deserves credit for not inviting Ron Paul who is an isolationist, has a deep disrespect for Israel’s security needs and strategic importance to U.S. national security, and he is, frankly, out to lunch on the Iran issue.

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Watch the best three speeches for yourself from the C-SPAN archives, in the order they were delivered: