Will sector momentum be broken?
The solar industry, at its recent gathering,
wanted to talk about 100,000 jobs, the quest for
grid parity and inroads made with the utility
industry. What it didn’t really want at its annual
convention was to be taken off message by a looming
trade war.
But a coalition of U.S. manufacturers wanted to get
the industry’s attention with a trade petition that
was filed with a division of the Commerce
Department. SolarWorld AG’s U.S. unit filed a
complaint with the U.S. International Trade
Commission in Washington.
One point on which both sides can agree, but for
different reasons: It couldn’t come at a worse time.
The solar industry is making strides in the national
energy conversation, jobs, particularly on the
installation part of the business are growing, and
costs are coming down.
Solar is trying to shed the image of a
subsidy-dependent industry in the post-Solyndra
bankruptcy era, when renewable energy critics are
latching onto any bid of bad news to denigrate clean
energy.
But the complaint was perhaps staged a bit to take
advantage of the high –profile the solar conference
afforded to those who are claiming to expose the
dark underbelly of solar’s growth. In effect, one of
the trade complainants told me the momentum of the
past year was unsustainable because part of the
lower prices that solar PV was enjoying was gained
by unfair trade practices, not just efficiencies.
“In 2010 the industry saw lower price s due to true
efficiencies and economies of scale,”
Kevin Kilkelly, president of SolarWorld said at the
Solar Power International conference last week.
But in his view nothing that was occurring in the
industry this year, like the decreasing embedded
costs for manufacturing equipment, for instance,
could justify what was going on in the marketplace.
“In the U.S. Customs statistics, we saw a 350
percent increase in the importation of modules. At
the end of July there were more modules in that
month than in all of 2010,” he said.
Some American manufacturers are pitted on one side
against not only Chinese companies, but also project
developers and some advocates who see the complaint
as a self-inflicted wound.
Sometimes, those opposed to the complaint wear
both hats, as does Arno Harris, CEO of Recurrent
Energy, a California-based developer of utility
scale photovoltaic (PVV) projects.
“This is the wrong reaction to have as the industry
starts to drive its costs down to become more
competitive,” he told me at the conference.
And, he said that companies that are unable to
compete are initiating a trade case to obscure their
shortcomings.
“Some of the best evidence we haves is that many of
these Chinese companies are traded on western stock
markets and they’re not making much money in these
times, either,” he added.
As these things tend to take time, the slow dance of
a trade case will play out over several months.
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